Benevento vs Lodigiani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 0
BEN
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
BEN
3 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
JUS
4 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
FIA
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
GIU
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
LOD
1 - 1
ASC
18%
24%
59%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 1
LOD
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
CAS
0 - 0
LOD
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
LOD
1 - 3
ARZ
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
LOD
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |