Benevento vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 2
FCV
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
ASG
1 - 0
BEN
17%
23%
61%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
USA
1 - 0
BEN
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 1
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
PRG
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
PRG
38%
29%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASF
4 - 2
FOL
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
PRO
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 0
FOL
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
NOV
37%
29%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |