Benevento vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 0
BEN
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 3
CAG
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 0
BEN
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 4
UDI
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
GEN
2 - 2
BEN
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 1
VER
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ROM
5 - 0
CRO
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 2
INT
10%
20%
70%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
3 - 4
CRO
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 1
SAM
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |