Benevento vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
AVE
3 - 0
BEN
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 2
PAL
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ARZ
3 - 2
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 2
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 0
BEN
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
LOD
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GIU
0 - 1
CAT
29%
26%
44%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAT
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 2
ANC
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAT
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |