Benevento vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 2
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 2
AVE
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 1
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 1
TAR
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PIS
2 - 0
BEN
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 2
USF
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SOR
2 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
REG
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |