Benevento vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
FIA
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
USF
1 - 1
BEN
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
LCR
70%
19%
10%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MES
0 - 5
BEN
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
AKR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
USF
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
0 - 0
ASM
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
CAS
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 1
ASM
66%
21%
14%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 0
FCC
31%
28%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |