Serie B Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Benevento vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2019 |
CTT
1 - 2
BEN
52%
23%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
BRE
2 - 3
BEN
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 3
PAD
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CRO
1 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
4 - 2
NUO
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2019 |
CTT
1 - 2
BEN
52%
23%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 2
CTT
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 2
CTT
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CTT
3 - 0
VER
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PRG
0 - 0
CTT
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |