Benevento vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
POT
1 - 3
BEN
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAV
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
JUS
0 - 1
BEN
27%
28%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 1
ARZ
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
BV5
4 - 0
ACP
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ACP
0 - 2
ASC
50%
27%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FCC
4 - 4
ACP
33%
26%
40%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ACP
0 - 0
ACS
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
ACP
24%
28%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |