Benevento vs AC Este analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
FCV
2 - 2
BEN
22%
26%
51%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
BEN
3 - 1
USA
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PRG
1 - 2
BEN
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 0
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ASF
2 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
ACE
5 - 1
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ABM
0 - 3
ACE
32%
25%
44%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ACE
1 - 1
TAM
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MON
1 - 3
ACE
16%
22%
63%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ACE
2 - 1
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |