Ben Hur vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 1
IRV
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
2 - 2
FER
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
TAL
3 - 1
BHU
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 0
ALD
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 2
BHU
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
INS
0 - 0
RAF
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
IRV
1 - 1
INS
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
INS
0 - 2
GOD
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
TAL
2 - 0
INS
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
INS
1 - 3
BEL
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |