Torneo Regional Federal Amateur Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Ben Hur vs Colon de San Justo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
CSJ
1 - 0
BHU
38%
28%
34%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
BHU
4 - 0
APR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
APR
1 - 1
BHU
26%
27%
46%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
BHU
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BHU
1 - 0
AGU
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Colon de San Justo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
CSJ
1 - 0
BHU
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
CSJ
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CSJ
2 - 2
JUV
27%
25%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 2
CSJ
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CSJ
2 - 0
BEL
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |