Ben Hur vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
PLA
0 - 1
BHU
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BHU
1 - 0
TFE
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
FER
2 - 1
BHU
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CAI
3 - 0
BHU
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BHU
1 - 0
CAU
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 2
IRV
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
TAL
4 - 3
ALM
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALD
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 0
ALM
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 0
PLA
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |