Ben Guerdane vs US Tataouine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
12º
15º
12º
7
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 27 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 22 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
BEN
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLY
39%
29%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
CSS
1 - 0
BEN
40%
31%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 2
CLU
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 2
ASD
59%
25%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
US Tataouine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
TAT
1 - 2
GAB
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 0
TAT
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TAT
2 - 0
CAB
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 0
TAT
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
TAT
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |