Ben Guerdane vs US Tataouine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
8º
8º
21
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
BEN
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
0 - 0
BEN
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 0
EGS
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
BEN
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
US Tataouine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TAT
0 - 0
OLY
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
TAT
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TAT
2 - 1
ASD
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
TAT
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
TAT
1 - 2
CAB
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |