Ben Guerdane vs Olympique Béja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
10º
14º
12º
6
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
15º
|
0 | 52 |
1º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 48 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 48 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 47 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 47 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 44 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 43 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 41 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 39 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 38 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 37 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 36 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 32 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
4.5% | 25.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
4.5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 2
CLU
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 2
ASD
59%
25%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
BEN
50%
28%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BEN
3 - 0
ETO
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
TAT
2 - 1
BEN
39%
29%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Béja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
GAB
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
OLY
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 4
STA
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
ASD
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 2
OLY
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |