Ben Guerdane vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
11º
8º
25
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CLU
2 - 0
BEN
55%
27%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 1
BEN
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLY
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 1
BEN
49%
29%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 1
STA
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 0
OLY
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
3 - 0
ASS
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
ETO
41%
29%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 1
CLU
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EGS
0 - 3
ETO
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |