Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
4 - 0
BEN
70%
21%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
JSK
21%
27%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +3 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 2
ODK
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 0
BEN
51%
26%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
BEN
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 0
ETO
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ASD
3 - 1
ESP
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
2 - 1
ESP
58%
23%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 1
ALA
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CSH
2 - 1
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |