Ben Guerdane vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
8º
8º
21
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 1
CLU
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
BEN
26%
30%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLY
45%
29%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
BEN
39%
30%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
TAT
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ASH
0 - 1
EGS
12%
18%
70%
|
59 | 8 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 0
EGS
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ETO
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TAT
1 - 0
EGS
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
CAB
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |