Ben Guerdane vs Chebba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 1
CSS
18%
28%
54%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEN
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
CSH
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
USM
1 - 1
BEN
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 0
STA
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chebba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 1
OCK
74%
17%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CSJ
0 - 3
CHE
22%
26%
53%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
COS
0 - 3
CHE
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
EGS
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 1
RAD
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |