Beltinci vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
5º
2º
12
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 59 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 54 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 51 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 36 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 35 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 34 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 24 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16% | 10.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beltinci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RUD
0 - 5
BEL
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
BRI
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 3
NKV
87%
9%
3%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 2
NKV
26%
24%
51%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 4
CSK
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 3
GOR
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ILI
2 - 2
TRI
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
ALT
16%
21%
64%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
TRI
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
3 - 0
TRI
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |