Belshina Bobruisk vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
14º
15º
23
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belshina Bobruisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BAT
2 - 1
BEL
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
FKS
30%
28%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
4 - 1
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
ISL
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
BEL
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAF
2 - 2
FCS
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 2
NAF
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 3
DNM
14%
23%
64%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
NAF
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
NAF
4 - 0
ZOR
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |