CR Belouizdad vs USM Khenchela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
16º
2º
20
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 48 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 44 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 34 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 25 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
37% | 1% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
14% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CR Belouizdad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
ORA
1 - 2
BEL
35%
30%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 2
CON
44%
28%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 2
BEL
49%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 1
JSK
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BEL
6 - 0
STA
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
USM Khenchela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
USM
3 - 0
USK
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 1
USK
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
EBA
1 - 2
USK
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
USK
0 - 0
USB
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
USK
2 - 3
SET
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |