Belogorsk vs Smena Komsomolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
75.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FKZ
3 - 1
SME
25%
26%
50%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 0
SME
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SME
4 - 2
IRT
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SME
0 - 1
DIN
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
SME
2 - 1
SAK
27%
28%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |