Belo Jardim FC vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
PER
1 - 1
BEL
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
CEN
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
BEL
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
ACA
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
SER
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
PES
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PES
0 - 1
SER
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
AME
52%
27%
21%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |