Belo Jardim FC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
AME
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
BEL
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
YPI
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 2
BEL
86%
11%
4%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 3
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAL
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
SER
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |