Belo Jardim FC vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 2
SAN
20%
22%
57%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
BEL
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 3
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
BEL
37%
25%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 0
YPI
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
SAL
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
YPI
3 - 3
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
PES
0 - 0
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
SER
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |