Belo Jardim FC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
67.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
BEL
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
AME
3 - 1
BEL
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
SPO
5%
14%
80%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
ACA
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
CUI
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
FEC
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 1
NAU
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
AFO
79%
15%
7%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |