Belo Jardim FC vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
58.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
IMP
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 3
BEL
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
NAU
11%
21%
68%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
BEL
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
AME
3 - 1
BEL
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
GUA
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ARN
0 - 2
CON
34%
24%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
IMP
0 - 0
ARN
27%
25%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
CON
3 - 3
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 2
ARN
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |