Belo Jardim FC vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
BEL
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
YPI
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 2
BEL
86%
11%
4%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 1
BEL
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
SPO
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 70 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
AME
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 1
AME
77%
15%
7%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
NAU
13%
19%
68%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
YPI
2 - 0
AME
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |