Belmont vs UNCG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belmont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BBR
1 - 0
WFT
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VMI
0 - 5
BBR
6%
13%
80%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FPD
2 - 1
BBR
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BBR
1 - 0
ETS
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UNC
1 - 0
BBR
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UNCG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FPD
0 - 3
UNC
47%
22%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UNC
3 - 0
MEB
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UNC
7 - 0
VMI
90%
8%
3%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
OMC
3 - 2
UNC
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UNC
1 - 0
BBR
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |