Belisce vs Vinogradar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belisce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VUK
1 - 1
BEL
44%
27%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
5 - 1
ORI
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEL
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 2
SLO
84%
10%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
ZRI
1 - 0
BEL
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vinogradar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NUK
6 - 0
VIN
28%
24%
49%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIN
2 - 0
HAS
90%
8%
3%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 2
VIN
17%
21%
61%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
KUS
5 - 1
VIN
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
HDR
2 - 4
VIN
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |