Belgrano vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
BEL
21%
29%
50%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 0
CHI
71%
20%
9%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 0
BEL
24%
29%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 2
ATL
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 0
BEL
25%
29%
47%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 2
ALM
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
SMA
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
SMA
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
MIT
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |