Belgrano vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
51.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
IND
3 - 1
BEL
69%
20%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 0
CEN
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
FER
1 - 3
BEL
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 0
HUR
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
DYJ
1 - 2
BEL
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SLO
5 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
GIM
0 - 1
SLO
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
SLO
0 - 2
ARS
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2006 |
COL
0 - 1
SLO
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
SLO
1 - 0
BAN
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |