Belgrano vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.5%
3.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RAC
2 - 3
BEL
52%
26%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 3
VEL
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
RAF
0 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
COL
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
TIG
0 - 1
BEL
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SAC
0 - 1
LUJ
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
SMG
0 - 0
SAC
51%
27%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ALE
2 - 2
SAC
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 2
JJU
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 1
SAC
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |