Belgrano vs Real Pilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2019 |
BEL
3 - 0
RIE
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 0
BEL
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
3 - 2
LAN
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 0
GOD
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LAN
3 - 1
BEL
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Real Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
TIG
1 - 3
RPI
92%
7%
1%
|
34 | 79 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 0
RPI
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
RPI
2 - 0
LIN
55%
23%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
RPI
0 - 0
ARR
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 0
RPI
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |