Belgrano vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
BHU
1 - 2
BEL
22%
28%
50%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 1
IRV
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 0
BEL
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
ALD
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
ALM
0 - 1
BEL
34%
28%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 0
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ALM
2 - 0
QUI
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 1
DYJ
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CHI
0 - 0
QUI
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 0
SMA
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |