Belgrano vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
44.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 1
BEL
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BEL
3 - 0
VEL
17%
25%
58%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 0
BEL
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
BEL
3 - 2
GOD
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GLP
2 - 2
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
NOB
1 - 3
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
GIM
0 - 1
NOB
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
NOB
2 - 2
QUI
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 3
NOB
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
NOB
1 - 0
ARG
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |