Belgrano vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
GLP
2 - 2
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2000 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAU
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
ARG
1 - 1
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
BEL
1 - 3
BOC
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
CHA
2 - 2
BEL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
NOB
1 - 1
RAC
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
EST
0 - 0
NOB
41%
25%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
GLP
4 - 3
NOB
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
NOB
0 - 0
CAU
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
ARG
0 - 1
NOB
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |