Belgrano vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
BOC
0 - 1
BEL
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
GYT
3 - 1
BEL
28%
29%
43%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
BEL
1 - 5
RIV
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
VEL
3 - 0
BEL
57%
25%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
BEL
1 - 0
HUR
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
NOB
2 - 0
GYT
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
RIV
4 - 1
NOB
73%
19%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
NOB
1 - 2
VEL
34%
30%
36%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
IND
3 - 1
NOB
57%
26%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1993 |
NOB
1 - 0
EME
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |