Belgrano vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
NOB
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GLP
0 - 2
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 0
HUR
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAU
0 - 3
BEL
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
SAR
47%
29%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
IRV
2 - 0
QUI
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 3
IRV
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
IRV
2 - 1
FER
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
RIE
3 - 3
IRV
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
IRV
1 - 1
RAC
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |