Belgrano vs Dep. Riestra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 0
BEL
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 1
ALM
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 2
BEL
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 0
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 0
BEL
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
RIE
0 - 0
SMA
27%
28%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
RIE
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 0
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
RIE
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
RIE
3 - 1
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |