Belgrano vs Dep. Maipú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
TEM
3 - 2
BEL
28%
30%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
EST
58%
26%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
GIM
0 - 3
BEL
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 0
RIE
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 0
BEL
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Maipú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 2
SMA
19%
28%
54%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAI
57%
27%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 2
CHI
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAI
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAI
3 - 2
ATL
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |