Belgrano vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ALD
2 - 1
BEL
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 1
GIM
56%
27%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CAU
0 - 3
BEL
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 3
TFE
53%
27%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ATT
2 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
DYJ
2 - 0
SMA
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
ALM
2 - 0
DYJ
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DYJ
1 - 1
PAT
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DYJ
0 - 0
ALD
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GIM
0 - 0
DYJ
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |