Copa Sudamericana Play-offs Final
Global 2-1
Belgrano vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
IND
4 - 1
BEL
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
37%
30%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
BEL
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 4
COL
50%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
GLP
40%
29%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GOD
1 - 3
COL
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
ARS
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |