Belgrano vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
RAF
0 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
COL
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
TIG
0 - 1
BEL
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BOC
0 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 2
ARG
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 2
SFE
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 0
BOC
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 1
VEL
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ARG
3 - 1
VEL
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 0
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |