Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-6
Belgrano vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 1
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
TIG
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 0
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 1
BOC
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
BEL
48%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
HUR
0 - 0
LAN
32%
26%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
IND
0 - 2
LAN
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 0
EST
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
LAN
30%
26%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
LAN
3 - 0
CHI
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |