Belgrano vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
CEN
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GOD
1 - 0
BEL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ATT
2 - 1
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 2
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 0
ATT
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
BRO
0 - 2
ALB
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
TAL
0 - 0
BRO
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 2
RSA
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
IRV
1 - 1
BRO
43%
29%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
BRO
1 - 0
CSE
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |