Belgrano vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
24.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
INS
0 - 0
BEL
35%
30%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
BUC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
IRV
0 - 2
BEL
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHA
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MER
0 - 2
BEL
25%
29%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 2
SMA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
ATT
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 0
DYJ
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 3
ATT
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 3
GIM
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |