Belgrano vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CAI
0 - 0
BEL
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 1
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
IRV
0 - 0
BEL
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
4 - 0
AND
66%
22%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
INS
0 - 1
BEL
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
ATT
0 - 0
ALB
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
DYJ
1 - 0
ATT
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
ATT
2 - 1
TFE
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
RAF
2 - 0
ATT
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ATT
3 - 1
ALM
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |