Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-4
Belgrano vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
HUR
1 - 0
BEL
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ATP
2 - 1
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAU
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
BEL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
GOD
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 2
JUV
53%
24%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ATP
2 - 1
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SCI
2 - 2
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 3
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ATP
0 - 2
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |